John Anthony AvatarJOHN ANTHONY




Football ATS

Spread betting was developed to make even lopsided sports contests interesting to bet on. Rather than just betting on a winner or loser, which is often fairly easy to predict, spread betting allows the bettor to place a wager on the losing team and still win as long as they beat the spread. With football ATS (against the spread) plays, betting occurs when a bet is placed on the favored team, who must now not only win, but beat the spread in order for the wager to be paid.

Typically, football ATS betting is riskier than betting on the favorite. Although handicappers do their best so that a bet either for or against the spread should have a 50%+ chance of winning, this doesn’t always turn out to be the case. To begin with, while gamblers might be rooting for a team to beat the spread, the NFL teams themselves are trying to win the game. They don’t care whether they win by 1 point or 14 points. This could manifest itself in a team that’s already ahead having an excellent chance to score in the fourth quarter, yet instead deciding to run down the clock and punt. Many times even teams or coaches who aren’t known for their conservative play-calling, have decided to play it safe, rather than risk a late turnover.

There are numerous other instances where a football team will hold off on scoring points when they’re ahead late in the game and endanger any against the spread wager. For example, if the game isn’t meaningful in the playoff race, then it’s not uncommon to see a team take out most of their starters so they won’t get injured. Other teams while ahead won’t try to score extra points, or ‘run up the score’ simply out of respect for the opposition. Running out the clock is another popular strategy, where the offense’s goal is to simply run the ball and take time of the clock, rather than pass it and put more points on the board. All these reasons make football against the spread wagers risky, but with the right insider knowledge, against the spread betting can still be tremendously rewarding, with the greatest risk to reward ratio around.