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Week 16: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles, Thursday Night Football 

The NFL’s Thursday night schedule concludes this week with a divisional battle between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles. 


Line: Giants -3 and O/U 41.5

Eli Manning and the Giants slipped off the radar during a three-game losing streak in early October but after a late comeback vs. the Ravens in Week 6, they have been one of the league’s hottest teams. Two wins over Dallas are the major sell on this franchise being competitive in the postseason but first things first. New York controls its own destiny and a win over Philly would lockup their first playoff berth since 2011. 

The short week puts pressure on New York and the team concludes its regular season at Washington. Neither one of these games is a gimme, or anything close to it. The Eagles lost 28-23 to New York in Week 9 and they are just 1-5 since. Late-season teams on a losing streak have gone 8-1 ATS the past nine and Thursday home teams with revenge are riding a 18-10 ATS run including last week’s win by Seattle over Los Angeles. The Seahawks were a big favorite in the game and the Rams had just fired their coach, but smaller home dogs like Philly are 6-1 ATS with five of seven dogs winning straight-up. 

Divisional road faves in December have been a big under play the past five years but the Eagles have a notable advantage here in time of possession. Philly had the ball 36-plus minutes the past two weeks and rank first overall with a 32:45 minute average. New York is 30th with a 27:21 average and the record for small divisional road faves here is only 2-11 ATS. When our home dog has a big advantage in recent games the record is 7-1 SU/ATS with six of eight games going over.

New York’s pass rush is beaten up and standout corner Janoris Jenkins (back) is the latest starter with an injury but it looks like he will play. DE Jason Pierre-Paul did not practice on Tuesday. With Philly getting healthier on the O-Line and Jordan Matthews looking like a full go, we are forecasting a decent night out of the Eagles offense. 

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