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Week 15: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks, Thursday Night Football 

The Los Angeles Rams were blown away during their Week 14 game against the Atlanta Falcons and that resulted in a dismissal for coach Jeff Fisher. Seattle didn’t fare much better on the road at Green Bay but the Hawks are 6-0 at home this year and scoring an average of 29 points per game. They are angry about losing and about the fact they already lost to these Rams in Week 2. Seattle is even mad about having to play a Thursday game and they are planning to take that aggression out on the franchise that has gotten the better of them more than any other team since Pete Carroll’s arrival in 2010.
LOS ANGELES (4-9) AT SEATTLE (8-4-1)
Line: Seahawks -16 and O/U 38.5
There are a lot of questions for the Rams to answer during the off-season. Who will coach the team next year, what’s the draft strategy going to be like, and how in the world did this team manage  to win four games in 2016?
As we head in Thursday night’s matchup with the Seahawks, the latter of those questions is the most important one to consider. Los Angeles did win four games this year but the team’s only victory since Week 4 was by a 9-6 final against the Jets. LA has scored more than 20 points just once in the past seven weeks, and they’ve only scored more than 10 twice. If the Rams do score more than 14 points in Seattle it will come as a great shock but the bigger question for this contest is how many will they give up?
The Rams have long been known as an “Under” team in outdoor road games, going 4-18 O/U with Fisher between 2012 and 2015. So far this year the Rams are 3-4 O/U on the road and two of the overs came in dome games at New Orleans and Arizona. The team’s scoring average in those 26 outdoor games since 2012 is 21-15 in favor of the opponent but when getting more than +7, they were just 4-9 ATS.
Divisional home faves at this stage of the season have generated a 65-percent lean to the “Under” but the past nine double-digit home faves off a brutal loss like the one Seattle took in Green Bay are 7-1-1 O/U.
Teams playing their final road game ahead of back-to-back home games that will finish their regular schedule are only 38-53-3 ATS. It sets up like a look-ahead factor where the team could be saving up its best stuff for a strong finish. It’s difficult to know what John Fassel’s intentions are with this matchup and his odds of retaining the head coaching position are slim, but it still stands to reason that he would like to finish strong at home vs. San Francisco and Arizona.

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