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NCAAB Preview: Wisconsin vs. Duke (Monday, 9:20 PM EST, CBS)

Vegas Line at this writing: Wisconsin -1 (139)

Tonight’s National Championship game features a rematch of a December 3rd game at Wisconsin won by Duke 80-70. At the time, 7-0 Wisconsin was ranked No.2 while 7-0 Duke was ranked No.4. In the game, the Blue Devils shot a lights out 30-46 (65.2%) from the field including 7-12 (58.2%) from downtown. Tyus Jones led the way with 22 points while Rasheed Sulaimon (no longer with the team) added 14 points. In the battle of big men, National Player of the Year Frank Kaminsky (17/8) won the battle and the war with then freshman sensation Jahil Okafor  (13/6). Guard Traveon Jackson led the Badgers with 25 but was hurt soon after missing most of the Big Ten conference schedule and he’s been looking to regain his form in tournament action.

There are several interesting storylines in this matchup. Many wonder whether Wisconsin will have anything in the tank after taking down previously unbeaten Kentucky. That didn’t seem to be a problem for the 1992 Duke team that upset a far superior than this edition of Kentucky UNLV team. The Dukies easily handled Oklahoma in the final for Coach K’s first National Championship. Speaking of coaches, Bo Ryan has as many National Championships as Coach K with four. Of course Ryan’s were all at the D-3 level and he was 4-0 in those games. Coach K is 4-4 in National Championship games and 0-3 when playing a one seed. With three seniors and a junior starting, Wisconsin started the year as the  No.54 team in the country in returning experience. Duke with their three freshmen was No.331. The Big Ten has lost five straight National Championship finals. Their last winner was the 2000 Michigan State Mateen Cleaves team. The favorite is 8-3 in the L11 National Championship games.

Wisconsin: Players to watch (Starters)

C Frank Kaminsky (18.7, 8.1, 2.7) National Player of the Year
F Sam Dekker (13.9, 5.4, 1.2)  Averaging 22.0 ppg L3
F Nigel Hayes (12.4, 6.3, 2.0)
G Bronson Koenig (8.7, 1.8, 2.4)
G Josh Gasser (6.8, 3.4, 1.7)

Duke: Players to watch

C Jahil Okafor (17.5, 8.6, 1.7) Possibly the No.1 pick in the next NBA draft
G Quinn Cook (15.6. 3.6, 2.7)
F Justise Winslow (12.7, 6.4, 2.1) Likely has played himself into a lottery pick
G Tyus Jones (11.5, 3.3, 5.7)

Allen’s Angles

Wisconsin is 16-7 ATS in L23 vs the ACC, 2-2 L3 years, 1-1 this year
The Badgers 6-3 ATS L3 years avenging same year loss, 3-1 this year
The Over is 5-1 in Badgers L6 as a neutral court dog of three or less
The Under is 5-1 in Wisky’s 6 tournament (all) finals

Duke is 30-15 ATS the L3 years after scoring 80+ points, 11-5 this year
The Blue Devils are 15-5 ATS in their L20 vs winning records
The Under is 8-1 this year in all Duke tournament games
Duke has won 18 straight non-conference games

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